- As the federal election looms closer, a new poll shows how Canadians are planning to vote.
- The poll also asked how Canadians feel about Trudeau as Prime Minister vs. Conservative Andrew Scheer.
- While a poll does not an election make, this one seems to imply Trudeau may still be around after October 1st.
According to the latest Ipsos polling data, the Liberals, led by an embattled Justin Trudeau, would take Quebec if the election was held tomorrow. Seems that despite the SNC-Lavalin scandal, the Prime Minister still has the trust and support of voters in his home province. Polling data indicates that the Liberals are far ahead of the other parties in Quebec.
Currently, the Liberals hold a 33% lead in Quebec. The Conservatives (17%), the NDP (11%), the Bloc Quebecois (11%), and the Green Party (5%) have a lot of ground to cover if they want to win the province. The People's Party of Canada failed to poll. Only 9% of voters in Quebec said they would spoil their ballot and 12% were undecided.
After Atlantic Canada (40%), the Liberals have the strongest numbers in Quebec. They have a lot of ground to cover in the Prairies, however, where Liberals are only polling at 15% across the region.
Overall, across Canada, the Conservatives (35%) hold a negligible lead in the polls over the Liberals (33%). This means that, based on this polls numbers, Andrew Scheer would win the election if it was held tomorrow. Most Canadians (67%) want to see a change since only one in three Canadians say Justin Trudeau deserves re-election.
Eastern Canada is firmly a Liberal stronghold, according to the data. The Trudeau government has heavily invested in Quebec and the Atlantic provinces ever since his victory, firmly entrenching themselves into the hearts and minds of voters.
In the West, however, the Liberals aren't fondly looked upon. In Alberta in fact, the Conservatives are the runaway favourites with 54% of the vote. Historically more Liberal, British Columbia marginally has the Liberals (23%) leading the Conservatives (20%). The NDP (19%) enjoys a lot of support in B.C. as well.
Led by a proud Quebecker and Montrealer, it's no surprise the Liberals see a lot of support in Quebec. Despite this, many voters in Quebec seem to be skeptical of Trudeau.
Polling shows that 30% of Quebec "somewhat disapproves" with Trudeau's performance and 28% "strongly disapprove" of him. Only 4% "strongly approve" and a lukewarm 38% "somewhat approve" of the Prime Minister.
What's surprising is that despite Liberal Party support, 58% of Quebeckers think it's time for another party to take over leadership.
This is a universal truth in Canada, as 67% of respondents think that it's time for another party to be in power.
The Prime Minister has been heavily scrutinized in wake of the Ethics Commissioner's report on the SNC-Lavalin scandal but the Liberal government's polling numbers have only marginally changed since last time Ipsos conducted a poll.
So it seems for now Quebeckers still believe that Trudeau is the best man for the job, as 38% believe that he's the best option for Prime Minister compared to only 24% for Andrew Scheer.
But, there are still many undecided voters and it's still way too early to tell who's going to come out on top in the next election.
Canada's federal election is set for October 21st, 2019. Go vote! Check out this handy guide from our friends over at Narcity Canada!