Sign up for our newsletter and get a curated list of the top trending stories and exclusive rewards every day.

Trending Topics

Get the MTL Blog app

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

These Are The Provinces Where You're Statistically Most Likely To Win Tim Hortons' "Roll Up The Rim" In Canada

Not all contests are created equal.
These Are The Provinces Where You're Statistically Most Likely To Win Tim Hortons' "Roll Up The Rim" In Canada

"Roll up the Rim" is one of the most exciting parts of February. Nothing compares to the moment before you roll up the rim of your morning coffee, anticipating for a moment that you just might win a prize.

As it turns out, some provinces are more endowed with prizes than others. The Tim Hortons prizes are alloted per "region," which encompass various provinces.

TL;DR In Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, the Northwest Territories, Yukon, & Nunavut, your chances of winning a prize are statistically higher than in the rest of Canada. In Ontario, on the other hand, you are slightly less statistically likely to win a prize.

READ ALSO: You Can Win Tim Hortons 'Roll Up the Rim to Win' In Canada Without Making A Purchase

In the Roll Up The Rim To Win "Terms and Conditions," they detail which prizes are located where, and how many cups each "region" gets. These "regions" encompass one or more provinces, depending on population size.

Through this, we can figure out what the chances of winning certain prizes are. For example, there are 5 cars available to win in the Maritimes, and Tim Hortons estimates that they will distribute a little over 30 million cups. This means for each cup you purchase, you have a 0.00000017% chance of winning a car. In another region, which encompasses Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Yukon, Nunavut and the Northwest territories, you have a 0.00000024% chance of winning a car. 

On the other hand, in Ontario, which has about 38% of the population and half the prizes available to win, you are statistically the least likely to win a prize. This is because there will also be the most cups distributed in Ontario. So, whereas the national average for winning a $50 gift card is 0.00019%, in Ontario this chance is 0.00018%. This isn't a huge difference, but it can definitely affect your chances of winning!

@timhortonsembedded via  

The prize distribution is also skewed in terms of population size. In the Maritimes, which has about 6% of the total Canadian population, there are about ten percent of each prize (11 out of 100 prepaid CIBC cards, for example) available to win.

The chance of winning a prize in Quebec is, luckily, about equal to the national average. However, the province only has 12% of prizes despite also being home to 23% of the Canadian population.

Is anyone else thinking of moving to the Prairies or the Northwest Territories for a better chance of winning a car? Yeah, me neither.

Source | Source

More from MTL Blog

Comments 💬

Our comment section is a place to promote self-expression, freedom of speech and positivity. We encourage discussion and debate, but our pages must remain a safe space where everyone feels comfortable and the environment is respectful.

In order to make this possible, we monitor comments to keep spam, hate speech, violence, and vulgarity off our pages. Comments are moderated according to our Community Guidelines.

Please note that Narcity Media does not endorse the opinions expressed in the comment section of an article. Narcity Media has the right to remove comments, ban or suspend any user without notice, or close a story’s comment section at any time.

First and last names will appear with each comment and the use of pseudonyms is prohibited. By commenting, you acknowledge that Narcity Media has the right to use & distribute your content across our properties.