According to new Quebec polling data released on May 10 by 338Canada, the CAQ is projected to get nearly 50% of the popular vote at 46.9% plus/minus 5.5%.
The CAQ is far ahead of Quebec's other political parties, with the Quebec Liberals projected to see only 20.7% plus/minus 3.6% of the popular vote and Quebec Solidaire to get only 13.4% plus/minus 3.1%.
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Should an election happen today, the CAQ is projected to win 95.2 plus/minus 10.7 of the National Assembly's 125 seats. This would represent a unanimous, majority government.
In terms of regional distribution, the CAQ is projected to lose Montreal to the Liberals with only 27% of the vote but would win 53% of the vote in other regions, including Quebec City.
The Parti Quebecois would lose big, projected to win only 2.1 plus/minus three seats with just over 12% of the popular vote.