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Summary

Will summer ever show up? Quebec's July weather forecast looks... complicated

June showers bring... more rain in July?

Montreal skyline and skyscrapers with storm clouds and heavy rain.

The first full month of Canada's shortest season may not bring the heat we've come to expect.

Marc Bruxelle| Dreamstime
Senior Writer

From rain to chilly temps, just about everybody in Quebec would agree that it's been a pretty lousy spring, at least weather-wise. As a result, many are hoping that summer, which officially kicks off on June 21, marches to the beat of a different drum.

However, the first full month of Canada's shortest season may not bring the heat we've come to expect.

According to a long-range forecast from the 2024-25 Farmers' Almanac, "Summer will be cooler than normal for Atlantic Canada through Quebec and around the Hudson Bay." The Almanac, which uses a centuries-old blend of astronomical and mathematical data to make long-term weather predictions, adds that "rainfall will be above normal across much of the country."

Here's how the rest of July is shaping up in Southern Quebec, according to the forecast:

July 1 - 3: Clearing for Canada Day/ Moving Day, then fair.

July 4 - 7: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms.

July 8 - 11: Widespread thunderstorms, then becoming fair.

July 12 - 16: Rainy periods with warm temps.

July 17 - 22: Sunny in the east, isolated thunderstorms in the west.

July 23 - 31: A few thunderstorms, then turning hot.

The Almanac is calling for July temperatures in Quebec to hover around 20°C — not exactly scorching, but comfortably summer-like. What really stands out, though, is the expected rainfall. With 155 mm of precipitation forecasted, that's about 85 mm more than usual for the month.

If the forecast holds true, Quebecers can expect a summer that doesn't quite sizzle but comes with plenty of surprises. A cooler-than-normal July may come as a relief for those who hate the heat, but the uptick in rain could put a damper on your weekend plans.

Want to know what the rest of summer could bring? You can read the Almanac's full seasonal outlook here.

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AI tools may have been used to support the creation or distribution of this content; however, it has been carefully edited and fact-checked by a member of MTL Blog's Editorial team. For more information on our use of AI, please visit our Editorial Standards page.

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    • Born and raised in Montreal, Al Sciola is a Senior Writer for MTL Blog. With a background in covering sports and local events, he has a knack for finding stories that capture the city’s spirit. A lifelong Canadiens fan and trivia enthusiast, Al spends his downtime sipping espresso and trying out new recipes in the kitchen.

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